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The recent July 2024 ENSO update from NOAA's ENSO Blog confirms the conclusion of El Niño. Currently, the tropical Pacific is in an ENSO-neutral phase, with sea surface temperatures in the Niño-3.4 region slightly above average, suggesting stable conditions. Forecasts indicate a probable transition to La Niña between August and October, which could influence global weather patterns, including heightened hurricane activity in the Atlantic. While models suggest a moderate likelihood of La Niña, ongoing variability underscores the unpredictable nature of ENSO forecasts.
For more detailed information, you can access the full update and explore the potential impacts of La Niña on the ENSO Blog at www.climate.gov.
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